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Why More Taiwanese Support 'One China' for Talks With Beijing - Domino Theory

dominotheory.com

Fear that Trump may abandon Taiwan is nudging its citizens toward accepting "One China" as a basis for talks — pragmatism born from a shaky alliance.

Deterrence TheoryAlliance CredibilityBalance of PowerSecurity Dilemma
Why More Taiwanese Support 'One China' for Talks With Beijing - Domino Theory

Theory Briefing

  • Doubts about U.S. reliability under Trump appear to be shifting Taiwanese public opinion toward a more flexible stance on cross-strait negotiations.
  • Accepting 'One China' as a negotiating framework would mark a significant softening in Taiwan's long-held political position toward Beijing.
  • The shift suggests that perceived abandonment by a security guarantor can push smaller states toward accommodation with a rival power.
  • Public pragmatism in Taiwan may be outpacing official government policy, creating tension between citizen sentiment and state posture.