Trump's Iran Strategy Tests the Limits of the 'Madman Theory' - NOTUS
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Trump's Iran negotiations are putting the "madman theory" of foreign policy to its ultimate stress test — can deliberate unpredictability actually coerce a nuclear-threshold state?
Madman TheoryDeterrence TheoryCoercive BargainingGame Theory
Theory Briefing
- Trump's volatile behavior during a delicate Iran negotiation period is a live experiment in the madman theory of foreign policy.
- The madman theory bets that an unpredictable leader gains leverage by making adversaries fear irrational escalation.
- Iran's nuclear threshold status raises the stakes — miscalculation under a madman strategy could have catastrophic consequences.