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Trump's Grip on GOP Slips Again With Tennessee Loss - New York Magazine

nymag.com

A Tennessee Republican primary loss raises the question of whether Trump's endorsement still guarantees GOP loyalty — or whether his grip is quietly loosening.

Political Capital TheoryPrincipal-Agent ProblemParty Realignment Theory
Trump's Grip on GOP Slips Again With Tennessee Loss - New York Magazine

Theory Briefing

  • A Tennessee race went against Trump's preferred candidate, adding to a pattern of primary endorsements failing to deliver.
  • The 2026 midterm cycle is shaping up as an early test of whether Trump's political capital inside the GOP has peaked.
  • Intra-party challengers willing to defy a Trump endorsement signals that the cost of crossing him may be falling.