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Rand Manipulation Case Against Local Banks Collapses - The Common Sense

thecommonsense.co.za

South Africa's competition regulator spent nearly a decade prosecuting a rand-manipulation conspiracy against local banks — and the case has now collapsed.

Sunk Cost FallacyRegulatory CapturePrincipal-Agent ProblemConspiracy Theory
Rand Manipulation Case Against Local Banks Collapses - The Common Sense

Theory Briefing

  • A nearly decade-long prosecution by South Africa's competition regulator has ended in collapse, with an unknown sum of taxpayer money spent.
  • The case centred on alleged conspiracy among local banks to manipulate the rand, a charge the article frames as a 'conspiracy theory' from the start.
  • The failed prosecution raises hard questions about how regulators decide which cases are worth pursuing at public expense.
  • When institutions invest years and resources into a theory, abandoning it becomes costly — making it harder to call off even a weakening case.