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Prominent Theory of Atmospheric Waves May Not Explain Extreme Weather Patterns

seas.harvard.edu

A landmark climate theory used to explain deadly heat waves and floods may be fundamentally flawed — and the implications for how we predict extreme weather are huge.

Quasiresonant Amplification (QRA) TheoryRossby Wave TheoryFalsificationismClimate Dynamics
Prominent Theory of Atmospheric Waves May Not Explain Extreme Weather Patterns

Theory Briefing

  • Researchers Linz and Mooring challenged QRA theory, which links atmospheric Rossby wave behavior to extreme weather events like heat waves and floods.
  • Their analysis found that quasiresonant amplification may not actually cause the extreme weather patterns it has long been credited with explaining.
  • If QRA theory falls short, climate scientists may need entirely new frameworks to predict and attribute dangerous weather extremes.