NYC's Unexplained Test Score Swings Prompt Experts to Question Reading Results
the74million.org
NYC reading scores swung wildly — and psychometricians can't agree whether that reflects real learning gains or a broken measuring stick.
Measurement ValidityGoodhart's LawSignal vs. NoiseConstruct Validity

Theory Briefing
- Large, unexplained swings in NYC reading scores have testing experts questioning whether the tests are measuring real literacy changes at all.
- Psychometricians list several competing theories: curriculum shifts, test design changes, or student familiarity with test formats could each drive the numbers.
- The debate matters because policymakers use these scores to judge school performance and allocate resources across the city.
- Without a clear cause, it's hard to know whether a score jump signals genuine progress or a statistical artifact.