'Drive prices down': Tom Panos reveals provocative housing theory | news.com.au
news.com.au
Real-estate coach Tom Panos claims a July 1, 2027 CGT change will quietly push property prices down — and he's no longer sure it's just a conspiracy theory.
Supply and DemandTax Incidence TheoryRational Expectations TheoryIncentive Theory
Theory Briefing
- Tom Panos, initially dismissing the idea as a conspiracy theory, now takes seriously the claim that a 2027 CGT change could suppress housing prices.
- The theory hinges on a July 1, 2027 date, suggesting landlords and investors may offload properties before a less favourable tax regime kicks in.
- If a wave of pre-deadline sales hits the market simultaneously, basic supply-and-demand logic predicts downward pressure on prices.
- The framing — a hidden policy mechanism quietly reshaping the market — explains why Panos calls it 'provocative' rather than mainstream analysis.