Dr Frans Cronjé: Why the ANC now polls at 34%, and what it means for SA - BizNews
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The ANC polling at 34% while growth stalls near 1% — is the party's collapse a verdict on governance, or just a warning shot voters haven't yet acted on?
Retrospective Voting TheoryPrincipal-Agent ProblemSocial Contract TheoryMedian Voter Theorem
Theory Briefing
- The ANC's support has fallen to 34%, a historic low that new polling links to stagnant economic growth hovering near 1%.
- Dr Frans Cronjé argues the GNU's political architecture matters far less to voters than its failure to produce jobs and investment.
- The polling suggests South Africans are shifting their loyalty based on economic delivery, not coalition optics or party identity.
- A government growing the economy at only 1% faces a structural credibility problem no amount of political reshuffling can fix.