China's Jets Vanished From Taiwan's Skies — Nobody Knows Why - MiGFlug
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China's warplanes stopped appearing near Taiwan — and analysts can't agree whether it's a pause, a pivot, or a trap.
Game TheoryStrategic AmbiguitySignaling TheoryDeterrence Theory
Theory Briefing
- Three competing explanations exist for the lull, but analysts say none is definitive enough to act on.
- The timing theory suggests China's absence follows a deliberate internal schedule rather than any external trigger.
- A second theory frames the quiet as a tactical pivot — pressure shifting to other domains like naval or cyber.
- A third reading treats the silence itself as a signal, possibly designed to lower Taiwan's guard before a future surge.