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AI-171 Crash Mystery Deepens: 14-Second RAT Timing Gap Challenges Pilot Error Theory

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A 14-second timing gap in the AI-171 crash data is forcing investigators to question the pilot-error narrative — a textbook case of how early attribution bias can derail accident inquiries.

Attribution BiasCausal InferenceSwiss Cheese ModelBlack Box Problem

Theory Briefing

  • A 14-second discrepancy in the Ram Air Turbine deployment timing is challenging the prevailing pilot error theory in the AI-171 crash investigation.
  • The timing gap introduces systemic or mechanical failure as a competing explanation, illustrating how attribution bias can prematurely close off inquiry.
  • Investigators now face a classic black-box problem — reconstructing causality from fragmentary data where multiple theories remain live.