Democratic pollster Peter Fenn does not agree with the
conventional wisdom that the GOP will gain seats in 2010. In fact,
he thinks the Dems could actually pick up seats win in 2010 in they
play their cards right.
The party out of the White House picks up seats in
post-inauguration midterm congressional elections. It's a
political shibboleth trotted out with such regularity it's
impossible to avoid and it's usually a safe bet to make.
Historically, "only twice in 80 years has the party in control
of the presidency not lost seats in the first midterm: in 1932 and
2002."
In 1932, Franklin D. Roosevelt was attacking the Great
Depression. In 2002, GW. Bush was riding a post-9/11 wave of
'don't upset the apple cart-ism.'
Fenn theorizes the 2010 midtems will also be singularly
different. Not so much because we are in uniquely historical
times, but because the existing GOP is positioning itself too far
from the center to
win congressional elections.
Here's why:
Lewis Black famously said, 'The Democrats are a party of no ideas and the Republicans are a party of bad ideas.' Now, according to Fenn, the electorate is increasingly seeing the Republicans as the party of "No." Obstructionists.
With Rush, Palin, Hannity and Glen Beck as standard bearers, what's a moderate GOP to do? Look at what happened in N.Y. 23 after that gang-of-four got involved.
"Despite the public's impatience with the economy and the desire for rapid change, voters know who caused the problem." Specifically, 63 percent of American voters believe Obama inherited this mess from Bush and the GOP.
Fenn's advice to Dems? Stay the course and clean up the
mess.
Submit Your Theory
Four lessons from 11/09 exit polling that could shape a GOP success in the midterms.
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CBO's Douglas Elemendorf's attempt to slam Orszag and simultaneously cover his butt.
With Chrysler/Fiat deal now stalled by the Supreme Court, here are 3 theories the planned dealership closings are political payback to GOP donors. And a rebuttal.
Turns out, the meteorite that supposedly killed the dinosaurs may have been 300,000 years late.
Human motivation exists in a five-tiered structure. The five tiers from lowest to highest are sociological needs, personal security needs, social needs, esteem needs and the penultimate need: self-actualization.
Great man creat history through their actions, leadership, art, and innovation. At least, Carlyle thought so in the 19th century.
Want to know the secret to personalities and personal success? Use hair part theory. It worked for Margaret Thatcher.
A theory developed by Pavlov that shows one can change a stimulus part of a stimulus-response pattern (like a flinch from a loud noise) to something neutral (a blue light turning on) and generate the same response. In this example, the blue light could cause the subject to flinch.
The explanation for 'Lost' is Jason Hunter's Time Loop theory. But you have to see it to really get it.
The island used to be connected to the rest of the Earth, but was detached during electromagnetism experiments conducted by the Dharma Initiative. It is capable of traveling anywhere with the only parameter being gravity
The most widespread and enduring conspiracy theories—British intelligence killed Princess Diana, the U.S. government orchestrated 9/11—are completely absurd. But that doesn’t stop them from drawing a vast and vehement audience. David Aaronovitch picks apart 12 grand conspiracy theories to conclude that they are concocted and promoted, in large part, by educated losers. (Yes, he actually calls them losers.)
'Gravity' hints at the passion behind Newton's theoriesDetroit Free PressBY JOHN MONAGHAN It's an image planted in the mind of every schoolkid: Isaac Newton sits beneath an apple tree as a shiny red orb bonks him on the noggin. ... ABC's Lost: Lighthouse Episode Recap & TheoriesMetrowny.com...
The island used to be connected to the rest of the Earth, but was detached during electromagnetism experiments conducted by the Dharma Initiative. It is capable of traveling anywhere with the only parameter being gravity
Now that they've had two days to think about it, what can the Internet's brainiest 'Lost' theorists tell us about the show's final season?
Inflation theory, which posits that the universe ballooned from subatomic scale to the size of a soccer ball during its first 10-33 seconds, has had great ...
There are a million different ingenious theories out there that explain this or that certain phenomenon and many are very complicated. See which one are surfacing on the interwebs today.
Nick Jonas (and the Administration) has just released a new song and it's called "Conspiracy Theory."
Listen to the newest single from his upcoming album "Who I Am" below:
Amateur historian Rick Rogers has spent decades developing a theory that either Dutch or Spanish traders visited Hawaii before Captain Cook's 1778 arrival. Maps from 1589 showing an approximation of Hawaii's shape and location; remains of a 1664 women indicating she had syphilis and the disappearance of 5 Spanish ships plying the Manila to Acapulco trade in the 1500 and 1600s make his case.
Scholars at the global warming skeptics thinktank, "The Science and Public Policy Institute (SPPI)" say ocean acidification theory is a scare tactic ignores Cambrian data, the chemistry of CO2 and the alkaline affect of ocean rocks.
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